Ceilândia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
1 - 1
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
5 - 1
CEI
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 3
CEI
8%
15%
77%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
SAN
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
4 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 0
DOM
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -3 |