Copa Verde 1/16
Global 2-3
Ceilândia vs Corumbaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COR
3 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
ANA
1 - 0
CEI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
ARN
41%
28%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Corumbaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COR
3 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
COR
3 - 0
OAC
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
NOV
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
COR
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 3
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |