Ceilândia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
1 - 1
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
SAM
30%
22%
49%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
4 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |