Ceilândia vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEI
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CEI
3 - 0
GAM
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
LUZ
2 - 4
CEI
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CEI
2 - 1
GAM
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
SED
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
BRA
72%
20%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 2
TAG
12%
18%
71%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 3
BRA
66%
21%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |