Ceilândia vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
CEI
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
30%
24%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
BDF
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
5 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |