Ceilândia vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
CEI
68%
19%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
BRA
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
BDF
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
BDF
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
CEI
39%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BDF
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |