Ceilândia vs Araguaína analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 2
BDF
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
CEI
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
CEI
21%
26%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +3 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GUR
3 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -3 |