Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 2-1
Ceilândia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CEI
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
CEI
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
APA
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 1
AAC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
AAC
2 - 4
CEI
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CEI
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
APA
3 - 2
AAC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
APA
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
APA
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |