Ceilândia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 1
AAC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
AAC
2 - 4
CEI
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
APA
3 - 2
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CEI
5 - 0
COM
42%
27%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
APA
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
APA
3 - 2
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 1
APA
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
APA
2 - 1
YPI
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |