Ceilandense vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
86%
9%
4%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
SED
5 - 0
CEI
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 0
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 3
SOB
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 0
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
DOM
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TAG
3 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
CAP
11%
17%
71%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |