Ceilandense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
4 - 1
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
SAM
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
PLA
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CEI
1 - 1
CAP
38%
24%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CEI
1 - 0
DOM
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
CEI
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
1 - 1
CAP
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
4 - 3
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |