Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
CEF
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAE
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
3 - 5
BAL
9%
19%
72%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 1
CEF
77%
15%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TNS
3 - 2
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |