Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
78.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
1 - 2
PEN
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 2
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
0 - 1
BUC
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CEF
4 - 4
FLI
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 0
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
22%
26%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TNS
1 - 1
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 4
TNS
26%
24%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |