Cefn Druids AFC vs Prestatyn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16%
16.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
7º
43
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 0
BAR
16%
22%
63%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
6 - 0
CEF
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
PRE
31%
22%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 0
PRE
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 3
RTW
42%
23%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
PRE
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 2
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |