Cefn Druids AFC vs Prestatyn Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16%
16.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
7º
43
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 0
BAR
16%
22%
63%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
6 - 0
CEF
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
PRE
31%
22%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 0
PRE
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 3
RTW
42%
23%
34%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
PRE
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 2
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |