Cefn Druids AFC vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
7º
16
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEF
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 1
BUC
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 5
CEF
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 2
LLA
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 5
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
LLA
12%
21%
68%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
RTW
22%
24%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |