Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
4 - 1
CEF
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CEF
4 - 1
HAV
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 4
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |