Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 3
BAN
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
4 - 4
BAL
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
CEF
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 0
LLA
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
40%
23%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |