Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 0
GUI
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ABB
0 - 3
CON
2%
7%
91%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
CON
13%
23%
64%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |