Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 1
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CON
6 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |