Cefn Druids AFC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 2
CEF
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 2
CEF
8%
15%
76%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
CON
4 - 0
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
CON
5 - 1
ABE
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
CWM
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |