Cefn Druids AFC vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.7%
11.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
13º
7º
26
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
CEF
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 1
MOL
79%
12%
9%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 4
LLA
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
4 - 1
PEN
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
CEF
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
AAA
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 2
HOL
14%
20%
67%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
3 - 1
AAA
74%
16%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
HOL
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |