Cefn Druids AFC vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RHY
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
PRE
55%
21%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
RHY
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
5 - 2
PRE
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |