Cefn Druids AFC vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
3 - 5
BAL
9%
19%
72%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 1
CEF
77%
15%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 4
CAE
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 3
ABE
64%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAE
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |