Cefn Druids AFC vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CEF
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
4 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
CEF
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 4
AIR
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
3 - 0
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAE
24%
21%
55%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |