Cefn Druids AFC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
RHY
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 2
CEF
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 1
PRE
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 1
AIR
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 2
ABE
40%
24%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 2
CEF
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 0
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |