Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 5-3
Ceará vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEA
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 4
CEA
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
CAU
87%
11%
3%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 1
VIT
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 1
LAG
87%
11%
3%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRB
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | -1 |