Copa do Nordeste Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Ceará vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 0
CEA
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 1
BAH
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
CEA
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
ARN
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
VIT
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 0
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
ASA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
5 - 1
SAL
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |