Ceará vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CEA
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
QUI
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
TIR
3 - 0
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
TIR
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 4
TIR
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |