Ceará vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 1
CEA
10%
19%
71%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 4
CEA
8%
19%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
PET
0 - 0
SPO
5%
15%
80%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 0
AFO
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARN
1 - 1
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |