Ceará vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 0
SAL
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 4
CEA
30%
26%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
CSA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
17%
23%
59%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 1
SAM
13%
21%
66%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
CSA
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
PMA
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 2
SAL
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |