Ceará vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 0
VAS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 2
CEA
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 0
CEA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
BOA
60%
24%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAO
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
GOI
1 - 0
SAM
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 3
CSA
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |