Ceará vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 4
CEA
30%
26%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
CSA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
17%
23%
59%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRB
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 2
SAL
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
TRE
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |