Ceará vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 6
CEA
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEA
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
UNI
84%
13%
4%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATP
38%
28%
33%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAM
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
ACA
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
0 - 0
CSA
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |