Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 5-1
Ceará vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
CEA
10%
20%
71%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 0
CEA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
OES
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
CEA
10%
20%
71%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
4DE
3 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |