Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Ceará vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 2
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
CEA
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 2
CEA
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
CEA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAL
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
ATM
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |