Ceará vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 1
CEA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
COR
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 3
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CEA
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
45%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 2
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
36%
25%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLA
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |