Ceará vs Pacajus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.9%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
13.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
17.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.3%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.1%
1.4%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
CEA
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 0
CEA
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
JWI
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 0
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Pacajus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
2 - 4
CAU
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
4 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAC
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |