Ceará vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
41%
24%
34%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
CEA
17%
23%
61%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEA
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
5 - 2
OES
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
POR
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
OES
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
OES
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |