Ceará vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
HOR
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
PIC
0 - 5
CEA
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |