Ceará vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
CEA
17%
21%
63%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 5
CEA
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 2
ICA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
LIM
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |