Ceará vs Iguatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAM
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
23%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ATP
0 - 0
CEA
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
TIR
1 - 3
CEA
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Iguatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IGU
0 - 2
FLO
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IGU
2 - 2
FER
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
IGU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TIR
0 - 2
IGU
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |