Ceará vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 1
GUA
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 3
CEI
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
CEA
14%
21%
64%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CEI
0 - 0
CEA
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ICA
3 - 0
TIR
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
ICA
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 1
HOR
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FER
2 - 4
ICA
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |