Ceará vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEA
16%
22%
63%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
5 - 1
TIR
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
5 - 0
ICA
35%
25%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
ICA
18%
22%
61%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
0 - 2
TIR
69%
18%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ICA
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |