Ceará vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.6%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
ALT
84%
13%
3%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
CEA
6%
17%
77%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 4
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CRB
0 - 0
CEA
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
CEA
5 - 0
SAM
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FLO
1 - 1
HOR
32%
23%
45%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
FER
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |