Ceará vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
ICA
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
CEA
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
HOR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
CEA
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |