Ceará vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 0
CEA
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 2
GUA
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 4
HOR
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |