Ceará vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEA
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CEA
0 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
ARN
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AMF
2 - 2
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
ASA
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 0
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
ABC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |