Ceará vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
AMF
0 - 0
CEA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CEA
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
10%
18%
73%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 1
CEA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
FER
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 4
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
FOR
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |