Ceará vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
CEA
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
CEA
5 - 0
FLA
84%
12%
4%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
9%
18%
73%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
TIR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |