Ceará vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEA
7%
17%
76%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
7 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |